Obama accepts prospect of nuclear-armed Iran
DEBKAfile Special Report March 10, 2011, 2:42 PM (GMT+02:00)

DEBKAfile Special Report March 10, 2011, 2:42 PM (GMT+02:00)
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It's over. Forward, nuclear Iran
During the four days between Thursday March 4 and Monday March 7, the Obama administration switched its Iran policy. As rocketing oil prices triggered by the Arab Revolt wiped out the damage caused the Iranian economy by sanctions,
Washington confirmed the worst Saudi and Israeli suspicions that America had no intention of acting to stop the Islamic Republic attaining nuclear weapons, although it held Israel back from doing so when it was more feasible.
This discovery has dealt America's allies in Riyadh and
Jerusalem their second letdown in three months, on the
heels of White House encouragement of the uprisings againsta
select number of Arab rulers.
The White House laid the ground for its change of heart on
The White House laid the ground for its change of heart on
Iran with public statements that drew little attention from
international media during the Libyan crisis.
The Director of National Intelligence James Clapper
presented the Senate Armed Services Committee this week
with a "revised" version of the controversial 2007 National Intelligence
Estimate which claimed orignally against all the evidence
that Iran had halted work on nuclear arms in 2003.
It is now confirmed that the misinformation contained in
the original NIE was the pretext for holding back -
not only an Israeli attack on Iran but also direct American
action for keeping nuclear arms out of Iran's hands.
By revising that erroneous estimate, the Obama administration
shows it is willing to catch up and come to terms with the reality
of Iran's wide-open option to develop nuclear weapons.
US official language reflects the administration's policy
turnabout on Iran. March 7, Washington announced that
the USS Monterey guided missile cruiser, whose Aegis
radar can monitor long- and short-range ballistic missiles and
transmit the data to interceptor missile ground stations,
would be deployed in the Mediterranean. "The US has started
implementing its plan to protect Europe from a potential Iranian
nuclear threat."
DEBKAfile notes that all past references to the US nuclear
DEBKAfile notes that all past references to the US nuclear
shield for Europe referred to Iranian ballistic missiles – never a
nuclear threat.
Our military sources note that one of the key ground stations
Our military sources note that one of the key ground stations
to which the Monterey's radar is linked is the X-band forward
radar station located in the Israeli Negev near the Egyptian border,
which in turn is connected to Israel Arrow anti-missile missile
batteries designed especially to shoot down Iranian ballistic missiles.
The closer the Iranian nuclear menace comes to reality, the
The closer the Iranian nuclear menace comes to reality, the
further it recedes from Israeli political and media rhetoric.
Obama's fundamental policy shift on the subject is bad news
for Israel in general and at this time in particular, because his
support for the Arab Revolt is seen by Israeli and moderate Arab
rulers as further evidence of a White House decision to strengthen Iran,
which profits hugely from their losses.
Shortly before the Monterey announcement, the Washington Times
reported: An Annual intelligence report to Congress has dropped
language stating that Iran's nuclear weapons are a future option. A U.S.
official insisted there was no "sleight-of-hand" in the change but
could not explain why the recent report was altered from two previous
versions.
IAEA Director Yukiya Amano was also quoted as describing new
information on the military aspect of Iran's nuclear program in
his latest report. An internal report from Feb. 25 stated that
recent information disclosed "nuclear-related activities involving
military-related organizations, including activities related to the
development of a nuclear payload for a missile" as continuing after 2004.
The two omissions in the original 2007 NIE report are that
The two omissions in the original 2007 NIE report are that
[US intelligence continues] "to assess Iran is keeping open
the option to develop nuclear weapons through we do not
know whether Tehran eventually decide to produce nuclear
weapons" and: "Iran continues to develop a range of
capabilities that could be applied to producing nuclear
weapons if a decision is made to do so."
Clearly, Tehran does not have the same trouble putting
its plans into words as do those US intelligence report writers.
It is bent on developing a nuclear bomb, has completed
the projects for its development and reserves the right to
set the date for assembling the completed components into a weapon.
Wednesday, March 9, the chief US envoy Glyn Davies reported
Wednesday, March 9, the chief US envoy Glyn Davies reported
to the nuclear watchdog's board in Vienna that Iran may be
continuing secret work on developing nuclear weapons. In the
course of an argument with the Iranian delegate Ali Asghar
Soltanieh, Davies warned of "increasingly apparently military
dimensions to Iran's nuclear program, including efforts by Iran
to develop a nuclear warhead."
"Iran continues to act very much like a state with something
to hide," he told the board.

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