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Saturday, 19 March 2011

Obama accepts prospect of nuclear-armed Iran 
DEBKAfile Special Report March 10, 2011, 2:42 PM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Iran nuclear   Israel   Obama   Saudi Arabia 
It's over. Forward, nuclear Iran



During the four days between Thursday March 4 and Monday March 7, the Obama administration switched its Iran policy. As rocketing oil prices triggered by the Arab Revolt wiped out the damage caused the Iranian economy by sanctions, 
Washington confirmed the worst Saudi and Israeli suspicions that America had no intention of acting to stop the Islamic Republic attaining nuclear weapons, although it held Israel back from doing so when it was more feasible.

This discovery has dealt America's allies in Riyadh and 
Jerusalem their second letdown in three months, on the 
heels of White House encouragement of the uprisings againsta 
select number of Arab rulers.
The White House laid the ground for its change of heart on 
Iran with public statements that drew little attention from 
international media during the Libyan crisis.
The Director of National Intelligence James Clapper 
presented the Senate Armed Services Committee this week 
with a "revised" version of the controversial 2007 National Intelligence
 Estimate which claimed orignally against all the evidence
 that Iran had halted work on nuclear arms in 2003.
It is now confirmed that the misinformation contained in 
the original NIE was the pretext for holding back - 
not only an Israeli attack on Iran but also direct American 
action for keeping nuclear arms out of Iran's hands. 
By revising that erroneous estimate, the Obama administration 
shows it is willing to catch up and come to terms with the reality 
of Iran's wide-open option to develop nuclear weapons.
US official language reflects the administration's policy 
turnabout on Iran. March 7, Washington announced that 
the USS Monterey guided missile cruiser, whose Aegis 
radar can monitor long- and short-range ballistic missiles and 
transmit the data to interceptor missile ground stations, 
would be deployed in the Mediterranean. "The US has started 
implementing its plan to protect Europe from a potential Iranian 
nuclear threat."
DEBKAfile notes that all past references to the US nuclear 
shield for Europe referred to Iranian ballistic missiles – never a 
nuclear threat.
Our military sources note that one of the key ground stations 
to which the Monterey's radar is linked is the X-band forward 
radar station located in the Israeli Negev near the Egyptian border, 
which in turn is connected to Israel Arrow anti-missile missile 
batteries designed especially to shoot down Iranian ballistic missiles.
The closer the Iranian nuclear menace comes to reality, the 
further it recedes from Israeli political and media rhetoric. 
Obama's fundamental policy shift on the subject is bad news 
for Israel in general and at this time in particular, because his 
support for the Arab Revolt is seen by Israeli and moderate Arab 
rulers as further evidence of a White House decision to strengthen Iran, 
which profits hugely from their losses.
Shortly before the Monterey announcement, the Washington Times 
reported: An Annual intelligence report to Congress has dropped 
language stating that Iran's nuclear weapons are a future option. A U.S. 
official insisted there was no "sleight-of-hand" in the change but 
could not explain why the recent report was altered from two previous 
versions.
IAEA Director Yukiya Amano was also quoted as describing new 
information on the military aspect of Iran's nuclear program in 
his latest report. An internal report from Feb. 25 stated that 
recent information disclosed "nuclear-related activities involving 
military-related organizations, including activities related to the 
development of a nuclear payload for a missile" as continuing after 2004.
 The two omissions in the original 2007 NIE report are that 
[US intelligence continues] "to assess Iran is keeping open 
the option to develop nuclear weapons through we do not 
know whether Tehran eventually decide to produce nuclear 
weapons" and: "Iran continues to develop a range of 

capabilities that could be applied to producing nuclear 
weapons if a decision is made to do so."
Clearly, Tehran does not have the same trouble putting 
its plans into words as do those US intelligence report writers. 
It is bent on developing a nuclear bomb, has completed 
the projects for its development and reserves the right to 
set the date for assembling the completed components into a weapon.
Wednesday, March 9, the chief US envoy Glyn Davies reported 
to the nuclear watchdog's board in Vienna that Iran may be 
continuing secret work on developing nuclear weapons. In the 
course of an argument with the Iranian delegate Ali Asghar 
Soltanieh, Davies warned of "increasingly apparently military 
dimensions to Iran's nuclear program, including efforts by Iran 
to develop a nuclear warhead."
"Iran continues to act very much like a state with something 
to hide," he told the board.
But not any longer, says DEBKAfile. HERE

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